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Mid-Week Update 07-01-09

An impressive quarter is now in the books. The second quarter of 2009 saw the S&P 500 rally almost 16 percent, its best quarterly return since 1998. Of course, this is on the heels of the sharpest market downturn in 80 years. Despite the rally, which took stocks deserving and undeserving alike from cheap valuations, there are still some bargains to be had.
 
Case in point is one of the most dominant companies on the planet – Intel (INTC). Intel is the leading semiconductor chip maker, with a global market share of approximately 80 percent. The company manufactures microprocessors, chipsets, flash memory and motherboards for computing and communications products under two business segments: the Digital Enterprise Group and the Mobility Group.
 
In Fiscal 2008, the Digital Enterprise Group accounted for 56 percent of the company’s $37.6 billion in total sales. With chips for desktop computers, servers, and enterprise applications, the group boasts high margins, and account for nearly three quarters of Intel’s annual profit of $5.2 billion.
Read more...

Market Update 06-30-09

Today marks the end of the second quarter of 2009. Despite the decline posted for the day, the market is on track for its best quarter in 6 years. Of course, that follows the worst market decline in 80 years, so that may account for the sour mood that prevails today. Read more...

Market Update 06-30-09

We’re at the mid way point of the year and the second half is likely to be every bit a thrilling as the first half. Unfortunately, we’re likely to erase much of the gains we’ve made in recent months in the second half, so we’re not necessarily talking about thrilling in a good way. Of course we intend to make the best of a bad situation with put options.
 
Although they’re correcting today, stocks don’t appear to want to go down just in earnest just yet; they may hang in there for several more weeks. By August the downward trend should be more pronounced. In the meantime, we’re concerned with the lack of trading volume and the prominent role program trading is playing these days.
 
In the week ending June 19, the latest for which data is available, program trading accounted to more than 40 percent of the volume on the New York Stock Exchange. Liquidity is generally a good thing, but when so much of it is coming from automated trading we can’t help but think the greater fool theory is at work. Program traders have become conditioned to expect early morning and late-day buying. What’s more, stocks have typically bounced once they’ve fallen to important support levels.
Read more...

Mid-Week Update 06-24-09

As the market begins to roll over, it becomes increasingly important to protect your portfolio. Of course, we advocate holding precious metals, like gold, that will hold their value in both inflationary and deflationary times – but some well positioned stocks should remain cornerstones of your portfolio as well. This type of company should boast a fundamentally stable business and a dividend stream to cushion investors in tough times, but also an element of growth that rewards investors in better times.

In the current market, some utility companies fit the bill. Withthe Obama Administration and the Federal Reserve pulling out all the stops to keep interest rates low, and many utility yields look attractive at current levels. Add in that a market pullback will likely initiate a flight to safety, and selected utilities could also offer substantial capital appreciation.

We don’t recommend going out and buying utilities at will, however, as all are certainly not created equal. Most will provide nice income streams, but the growth of that stream is largely tied to regulated rate increases. As we enter an exceptionally inflationary era, with interest rates rising (at some point), we point you towards those utilities that have an element of growth, so they can not only grow earnings – but grow their dividend payments as well, giving you a positive return in real terms.Read more...

Poll

Will This Rally Last?
Yes
20%
No
80%
Total votes: 5

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