Law

Slow Isn't So Bad 08-05-10

The news is in, and it's no surprise. That's why the markets are taking it so well. The U.S. economy is losing momentum. Yet stock prices are rising even as bond yields stay low.Read more...

Market Update 04-14-10

Thanks to the combined $61 billion below-market loan pledge from the EU and IMF to Greece, the euro strengthened the most in seven months against the U.S. dollar. Stocks rose and credit default swap rates for Greece fell the most on record as concern that Greece would default on its debt eased, at least temporarily. The plan calls for up to 30 billion euros (about $41 billion) in three-year loans from the EU at an interest rate of around 5 percent (about 2 percentage points below the rate Greece would have to pay in the market). The IMF is to supply the rest of the loans.
 
The aid package also helped to boost demand for the Greek bonds auctioned this week. Greece managed to sell more than $2 billion of short term bills; both auctions attracted many times more bids than available securities but investors demanded higher yields. The bills maturing in 52 weeks were sold to yield 4.85 percent. In January, bonds of the same maturity were sold at 2.2 percent, signaling just how deep confidence in Greece has eroded since. Investors find the high yielding Greek bonds very attractive short-term investments given the EU and IMF backing.
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Mid-Week Update 04-14-10

Earnings season is just getting underway and the first major report out on Monday, from Alcoa, left many investors disappointed. The largest U.S. aluminum producer managed to cut its losses from $497 million during the same period a year prior to $201 million this quarter, but the market expected more from the company’s sales, which grew only 18 percent to $4.89 billion. By contrast, aluminum prices have risen by roughly 50 percent over the last year. Alcoa, a bellwether for the performance of the overall market, given the wide use of its product, did not set the right tone.

However, the outlook improved late yesterday when Intel (INTC), which is part of our Growth Portfolio, reported its first quarter results. By almost all measures, the results were impressive, with Intel having its best first quarter since the company’s founding in 1968. This suggests that other technology companies may be releasing strong figures this quarter as well; but with Intel’s market share of computer processors over 80 percent, the results more importantly serve as a proxy for end demand and perhaps a bellwether for economic health.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 02-24-10

Despite some positive economic news that has come out in recent weeks, one area of the economy that has yet to show real signs of improvement is retail spending. American consumers are still reeling from the near collapse of the U.S. economy, and nearly 10 percent of them don’t have a job (many more if you count partially employed). This raises doubts about the sustainability of the recovery, given that personal consumption accounts for roughly 70 percent of U.S. GDP. Read more...

Market Update 02-17-10

The eyes of the world are on Canada these days as the country hosts the quadrennial Winter Olympic Games. But markets around the globe are paying it less heed than other, more troublesome parts of the globe. And we are not just talking about Greece, although it certainly is among the hottest topics of conversation on Wall Street and beyond.Read more...

Market Update 01-13-10

It’s official: China is now the world’s largest car market. This milestone has been reached as sales of passenger cars, buses, and trucks jumped 46 percent last year (including an amazing 92 percent increase in December to end the year on a high note) to 13.6 million units, helped by subsidies for new cars and by cutting its car tax in 2009 by half (to 5 percent). The tax has been raised to 7.5 percent for 2010 and sales growth this year is likely to be more muted, but China is expected to hang onto its top spot. By comparison, America’s reign at the top spot, after more than a century, is over. U.S. sales slumped by more than 20 percent to about 10 million as a result of recession and tight credit.
 
China’s robust car market has become a reprieve for international automakers plagued by weak markets in the U.S. and Europe. Even the much maligned General Motors saw excellent success in its Chinese operations. Fellow U.S. automakers and Germany’s Volkswagen are stepping up their investments in the country. Ford is spending close to $500 million on a third plant there and Volkswagen plans to invest close to $6 billion in the country. Korea’s Hyundai will also build a third factory in China to boost production capacity by 50 percent. Companies will have to be careful not to get too caught up in the momentum and over-invest, but for China that means more jobs and capital inflow, further fueling growth.
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Mid-Week Update 12-16-09

The world’s largest computer-chip maker and Growth Portfolio holding, Intel (INTC) is once again making headlines thanks to its market dominance. Fresh off the latest agreement with the European Union to pay almost $1.5 billion to Advanced Micro Devices to settle a four-year dispute, Intel is once again facing anti-competitive charges. Now the U.S. Federal Trade Commission has joined party, alleging that the company has illegally used its dominant market position to suppress competition and strengthen its monopoly. Read more...

ESpeed: Ready to Rake It In

Its electronic trading business in Treasuries will surge as rates edge up

 
With interest rates still at 40-year lows and Alan Greenspan no longer talking about “patience,” it’s almost a sure bet that rates will continue trending up. How can aggressive investors parlay this knowledge into market gains? One way is to capitalize on the surge in trading volume in U.S. Treasuries that is sure to result as institutions try to manage the risk of their portfolios by adjusting the composition of their fixed income holdings. A small company whose business is directly leveraged to increased trading volume in Treasury notes is eSpeed, a subsidiary of Cantor Fitzgerald.
 
ESpeed is an innovator in the electronic trading of Treasuries, and it has been using Cantor Fitzgerald’s network and particular expertise in Treasuries to gain a significant competitive edge. In addition to benefiting from an increase in trading volume in Treasuries, it also will participate in increas-es in trading in futures (especially Treasury futures), currencies, equities, and even energy. In each of these areas it has an innovative electronic trading platform. ESpeed’s total and fully electronic trading volume is on the upswing.
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