Apple

Mid-Week Update 08-04-10

The largest US wireless carrier and Income Portfolio stalwart, Verizon Communications (VZ), has seen its shares surge since a strong earnings report a couple weeks ago. Despite facing rival AT&T (T) which is privy to an exclusive contract for Apple’s iPhone, Verizon was able to add 665,000 contract customers in the quarter, easily besting AT&T’s 496,000 new customers. The impressive sign-up numbers were largely due to a smattering of new phones offered on the network, and based on Google’s Android operating system. The new devices came from multiple manufacturers including Motorola and HTC.

Investors cheered as the strong contract numbers also translated into financial results. The company reported profits of 58 cents a share, which, while down from 63 cents in the year-earlier period, beat Wall Street consensus estimates by 2 cents per share. Company-wide revenues fell less than a percent from the year-earlier to $26.8 billion, while those stemming from the company’s wireless division rose 3.4 percent to $16 billion. This indicates that Verizon is steadily growing the wireless side of the business to replace flagging landline sales.

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Mid-Week Update 07-14-10

Second quarter earnings season is finally upon us. After first-reporter Alcoa released positive results on Monday, Growth Portfolio member and technology bellwether Intel (INTC) reported blowout numbers last night after the market’s close.

The largest computer chip maker in the world collected $2.89 billion in net income, or 51 cents a share, during the second quarter – easily outpacing consensus estimates of 43 cents. Importantly, the semiconductor giant accomplished this through outperformance on both the top-line (revenues were $10.8 billion versus expectations of $10.3 billion), and the bottom line, with further gross profit margin improvements (67.2 percent versus 50.8 percent in the same period last year). With this strong showing, the company upped its gross margin estimate for the full-year: to 66 percent from a previous prediction of 64 percent.

Intel’s forward-looking guidance also beat expectations. For the current quarter, the company now expects total sales to be $11.6 billion – plus or minus $400 million. Analysts had estimated $10.9 billion, so Intel’s most bearish guidance now exceeds the average analysts’ expectations by $300 million. CEO Paul Otellini cited higher enterprise spending as the catalyst behind the impressive results and forecast. Corporate customers are replacing old desktops and laptops, while other companies like Google and Facebook are increasing the size of their server farms.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 06-23-10

Economic reports, especially those relating to the financial health of American citizens, have not been overwhelmingly positive lately. In fact, deflationary fears aren’t subsiding, and more quantitative easing from the Fed may be on the horizon, as evidenced by nuances in today’s statement.

The dismal consumer state makes the performance of Growth Portfolio member Apple (AAPL) all the more impressive. While most Americans are struggling to stay employed and pay their bills, Apple is struggling to keep their new offerings on the shelves. Yesterday, the company announced that they have sold 3 million iPads since their new tablet computer was released in early April. The demand has exceeded company and Wall Street expectations alike, and has strained supplies. With an iPad being purchased every two seconds, most retail outlets have resorted to customer waitlists as inventory struggles to catch up to the volume of purchases.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 04-21-10

Earnings season is hitting its stride. Over 100 of S&P 500 companies have already reported first quarter results, and it appears we’re on track for a relatively positive season. In fact, of those who have released, over 80 percent have surprised on the upside, while less than 10 percent have come in below expectations.
 
The poster child for positive earnings surprises, Apple (AAPL), reported another blockbuster quarter (its fiscal 2nd quarter) after the market closed yesterday. Our Growth Portfolio member reported revenues of $13.5 billion, up 49 percent, easily outpacing analysts’ expectations of $12 billion. Earning per share beat expectations by even more at $3.33 vs. consensus estimates of $2.46, as the company reported impressive gross margins of 41.7 percent, almost 3 percentage points better than company’s earlier guidance. Earnings were helped by a strong mix of product sales, including higher-margined Mac computers, whose shipments grew by 33 percent vs. the year earlier period. The company’s largest revenue contribution came from the iPhone unit, with sales of $5.3 billion. The company sold 8.75 million units during the quarter, up an astounding 131 percent from a year earlier, and more than 3 times the 41 percent growth seen in the smartphone market as a whole.
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Mid-Week 08-26-09

It’s hard to believe that summer is almost over. Typically, the end of the summer means one thing for retailers: back-to-school shopping. But in this tumultuous consumer environment, most retailers are likely holding their breath and crossing their fingers for decent results, rather than a return to the free-spending American shopping season of yore. We’ll save discussions of holiday shopping season for later. Read more...

Market Update 07-27-09

Wall Street pundits are currently debating whether we will segue into a period of inflation or deflation. Both of these have their challenges for investors, although (as we have said many times) inflation would be the lesser of the two evils. Fortunately, the argument for deflation has some serious flaws.
 
We understand why some argue for deflation. Capacity utilization is at a record low, while the American consumer faces a tough situation. His income has either fallen or stagnated. Certainly his wages are not rising. He pays higher gasoline prices which cramp his lifestyle. He may also face new taxes if President Obama's healthcare scheme gets traction. The best case scenario for U.S. growth may be 1-2% a year. Maybe 3% for a quarter or two. But the days of sustainable 3.5% growth are long gone. So far we agree with the deflationists.
 
But deflation isn't the whole story. The deflation argument depends on the false belief that what happens in the U.S. will spread to the entire world economy. That in turn only seems reasonable if your perspective is firmly lodged in the 20th century – a time when the U.S.
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Mid-Week Update 07-22-09

We are in the full swing of earnings season, and the market is sorting through companies’ reports to find clues as to the state of the economy. Our read has largely been that only those companies that have significant operations in the developing nations are showing strength, while many domestic companies are still having trouble. In other words, we think that the American economy is not out of the woods yet. Today we’ll review two Growth Portfolio picks that reported earnings yesterday: Coca-Cola (KO), a multinational powerhouse, and Apple (AAPL), a predominantly domestic company that has bucked the trend of weak consumer spending.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 06-10-09

Try as we might, the timing of our stock purchases isn’t always the best. Case in point was our addition of Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) to The Complete Investor Growth Portfolio last October. We added the stock just as the market was embarking on another downleg in the worst bear market in most investors’ lifetime. But while the market’s outlook plays a role in our stock selections, every bit as important, if not more so, is a given company’s long-term prospects and its stock valuation.

Since our initial recommendation, Hewlett-Packard has only slightly outperformed the overall market. But while this is somewhat of a disappointment, our view of the company is in no way diminished. In fact, we like it every bit as much today as we did eight months ago.

Along with Intel (INTC) and Apple (AAPL), also in the Growth Portfolio, Hewlett is one of the few true franchises in the technology space. The company is frequently pigeonholed as being just another computer company. But HPQ is much deeper than that.Read more...