FPL Group

Mid-Week Update 10-28-09

Earnings season rolls on. Despite still less-than-compelling economic readings, earnings reports have largely been good. With exactly half of the S&P 500 companies already having reported, we’ve seen 75 percent of them meet or beat expectations. Granted, many of these upbeat results stem from cost-cutting rather than strong top-line results, but we’ll take whatever we can get.
 
The earnings reported by some TCI portfolio holdings this week weren’t off the charts, but they left a positive long-term picture for these companies intact. Let’s take FPL Group (FPL), a member of both our Growth and Income portfolios. Before the market opened yesterday, FPL reported earnings and forward-looking guidance that underwhelmed investors. Excluding one time items, the U.S.’s largest producer of wind and solar power reported earnings per share of $1.38, four cents below consensus estimates.
 
The reasons for the miss were two-fold. First, the company’s Florida utility business was punished by the recession, as the state has been one of the hardest hit. Florida’s unemployment rate has reached 11 percent – its highest since records began in 1976. The company has expanded its wind farms and solar projects to compensate for lost Florida business, but earnings during the quarter were hurt by poor wind resources in Texas.
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Mid-Week Update 07-29-09

We’ve reach the midpoint of earnings season and companies’ quarterly reports continue to be digested by the market. To date, about 75 percent of those S&P 500 companies who have reported earnings have beat consensus estimates. Unfortunately, many of these positive surprises have come on cost-cutting measures and other one-time items that are not sustainable ways of supporting earnings. The real earnings strength has come from companies with exposure to the developing world – countries whose economic engines have once again started churning. However, today we’ll highlight two of our portfolio picks that recently published results that beat estimates despite relying much on the domestic market – remarkable exceptions to the rule.
 
FPL Group (FPL), the country’s largest producer of wind power, reported profits that beat analysts’ expectations. Excluding one-time items, which included energy price hedges, the Florida-based company reported earnings per share of 99 cents, 2 cents better than estimates.
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Mid-Week Update 06-24-09

As the market begins to roll over, it becomes increasingly important to protect your portfolio. Of course, we advocate holding precious metals, like gold, that will hold their value in both inflationary and deflationary times – but some well positioned stocks should remain cornerstones of your portfolio as well. This type of company should boast a fundamentally stable business and a dividend stream to cushion investors in tough times, but also an element of growth that rewards investors in better times.

In the current market, some utility companies fit the bill. Withthe Obama Administration and the Federal Reserve pulling out all the stops to keep interest rates low, and many utility yields look attractive at current levels. Add in that a market pullback will likely initiate a flight to safety, and selected utilities could also offer substantial capital appreciation.

We don’t recommend going out and buying utilities at will, however, as all are certainly not created equal. Most will provide nice income streams, but the growth of that stream is largely tied to regulated rate increases. As we enter an exceptionally inflationary era, with interest rates rising (at some point), we point you towards those utilities that have an element of growth, so they can not only grow earnings – but grow their dividend payments as well, giving you a positive return in real terms.Read more...

Market Update 08-08-07

7 World Trade Center New York

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Volume 4, Number 32

 August 8, 2007

 Even though last week's market was characterized by dramatic price swings and sharply increased volatility, we are confident that it is still in the trading range. Moreover, a market that is both volatile and in the trading range gives options traders opportunities to profit that are otherwise hard to find.

This morning, we closed a trade we held for 20 days for a profit of 105 percent - we advised closing the FPL Group September 60 call option (FPL + IL) at the market. Read more...

Weekly Update 10-23-06

  (NO SALES, NO ARCHIVE...

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Since July, we’ve argued that a decline in oil prices would create an opportunity for stocks to rally to new highs. Last week, the Dow closed above 12,000 for the first time in history, while the S&P set another recovery high.

Oil meanwhile closed at under $57 (the closest contract), having retreated from its July all-time high of near $80. We think this illustrates quite clearly the inverse connection between oil and stock prices. But we also think oil has a better chance of setting a new high than it has of sinking much below current levels.

The best possible scenario would be for stocks to keep rising and oil to keep falling. That would be a return to the good old days of the 1990s. Unfortunately, we think these trends are already looking a little tired.Read more...