Africa

Mid-Week Update 02-10-10

Earnings season is well underway with two thirds of S&P 500 companies already having reported. It appears that fourth quarter numbers are even better than what most analysts had anticipated, with roughly three quarters of those reporting having exceeded analysts’ expectations.
 
However, even with estimate-beating numbers, the market has not cheered results like we saw during 2009’s historic rally. This is likely due to the continued stagnant sales in developed countries where consumers are still in a state of shock following the recession (and continued high unemployment). However, those companies that have a strong presence outside of the developed world, or aren’t exposed to the consumer market, are now in the best position to take advantage of the continued global recovery.
 
Take Coca Cola (KO), for example, which is part of our Growth Portfolio. Yesterday the company announced that its net income had risen 55 percent to $1.54 billion, or 66 cents a share, from $995 million a year earlier. We see signs of the recovery, not so much in the increased net income, but in improvements in its top-line sales. Coke’s net revenues were up 5.4 percent year-over-year to $7.51 billion.
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Market Update 06-24-08

It's difficult to be optimistic when crude oil and gasoline are surging, the dollar and home prices are plunging and unemployment and inflation both seem to be rising. This morning's consumer confidence number- 50.4- was astoundingly low and an indication that the nation's mood remains as gloomy as the skies before a summer storm.

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Weekly Update 07-14-08

  (L-R) Former Freddie...

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

 

Too big to fail. No, I am not talking about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac; nor do I mean Washington Mutual (in the interests of full disclosure, TCI does not recommend investing in those stocks even at these distressed levels).

What is too big to fail is the U.S. economy. It’s getting weaker by the day as a result of hurricane-force winds of dual crises: financial and energy.

The Federal Reserve and the Treasury Department have decided to all but bail out the mortgage giants Freddie and Fannie, steps they would never have taken had not their possible collapse further endanger our very fragile economy. These steps have been deemed unprecedented, but were they really that unthinkable after the March bailout of Bear Stearns? The markets cheered today’s action for all of about 10 minutes before rethinking the move. Investors then spent the rest of the day bailing out of any financials with exposure to the mortgage market.

One simple and direct measure regulators can take to prevent widespread panic would be to raise the amount of bank deposits covered under FDIC insurance.Read more...