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Market Update 05-05-09

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) had its latest meeting last week. As expected, no significant policy change resulted from the meeting. The Federal Funds rate remained at virtually zero and the Treasury will continue with the purchase of agency papers and Treasury Securities initiated in March. That the benchmark interest rate remained unchanged is no surprise because it is already as low as can be. The continuation of the security purchase plan could be interpreted either way depending on whether you’re an optimist or a pessimist. Either the FOMC thinks the economy has stabilized enough that no increase is necessary or there’s not enough improvement in the economy to warrant scaling back purchases yet. Read more...

Weekly Update 04-13-09

Short-Term Key: Negative
Long-Term Key: +48
 
One day in my freshman year at college, while I sat taking notes in psychology class, my professor made an important point about “rules-of-thumb” and their usefulness in predicting the future. Even though the lecture that day was on developmental psychology and not market psychology, his words apply very well to forecasting how stock prices may behave over the next few months.
 
The professor had asked us to read a chapter in our textbook which stated that children generally start to speak simple words at around 18 months of age. By two to three years of age, they should start using simple two-word utterances, and after three years of age they should be using simple sentences. Those are the “rules-of-thumb” for language acquisition, and if a child falls behind in that schedule, psychologists and doctors take it as a sign the child might be intellectually retarded. Read more...

Market Update 03-10-09

Is this the rally we’ve been waiting for? While the markets have been oversold and the buying action today seems to be very strong, we would refrain from calling the bottom just yet. However, one element of a rally is indeed present – the market is reacting to a relatively small piece of good news and is leaving behind most of the negativity of the latest labor numbers, at least for today.

The biggest action today is in the financials, following some rare good news out of the sector. Citigroup’s CEO disclosed that the company has been profitable in the first two months of the year and that its revenues were $19 billion. Of course, the figure doesn’t include potential one-time write-downs which are becoming a tradition, but at least the announcement breaks a string of terrible news out of the finance industry. Read more...

Market Update 11-11-08

Last Friday, the U.S. Department of Labor announced that the unemployment rate had risen to 6.5% in October, the highest rate since 1994. More than 1 million American jobs have been lost so far in 2008, and the job loss rate is accelerating- over half of those jobs were lost in August, September and October. Clearly this bad news is confirmation that we're in a recession. The worst of the financial crisis is over, but it will take time for the liquidity injections to work its way through the economy and companies' bottom-lines. In the meantime, Main Street is feeling the full brunt of the crisis.

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Market Update 08-05-08

Today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to leave the benchmark interest rate at 2 percent- a move that was widely anticipated. This was the second consecutive meeting in which the rate wasn't changed. The statement accompanying this decision cited both downside risks to growth and upside risks to inflation. While the Fed still expects inflation to cool later this year, the outlook remains uncertain.

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Market Update 03-09-07

March 9, 200

Weekly Update

There is quite a lot to speak about this week, with two of our previous recommendations reporting earnings and three new recommendations coming to market. 

AeroVironment (GMS:AVAV) reported earnings on Thursday. Q3 revenue came in at $46.3 million, up from $35.5 million versus the prior year (a 30.4% increase). Earning per share rose to $0.57 from $0.29 a year ago (a 96.5% increase), exceeding consensus expectations of $0.24. The company also offered 2007 revenue growth projections of 20-25% for 2007.

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Market Update 02-23-07

Leeb's IPO Insight

 - Weekly Update -

 February 23, 2007

Canada-based OncoGenex Technologies is a development-stage biotech, whose drugs aim to reduce tumor cells' resistance to cancer therapies. The company's drug candidates are designed to target and block the production of proteins that are associated with the development of treatment resistance.  

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Market Update 11-30-05

Front entrance to building 17 on the main camp...

Image via Wikipedia

Weekly Update

November 30, 2005 

The Holiday shopping season is fully under way and the early indications are that it will be a good year for retailers. If your gift list includes youngsters, here's something to keep in mind: You can't go wrong with the classics. And one classic that was recently inducted into the Toy Hall of Fame (who knew there was such an institution?) is the plain old corrugated box. 

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Weekly Update 02-04-08

  Bank of America CEO ...

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

 

The combined efforts by the Fed and Congress to stimulate and lubricate the economy seemed to work extremely well last week as the S&P rose 4.87%, while the Dow climbed 4.39%. Putting aside any impolite metaphors, what really impressed us were the even bigger gains in the broad market. Indeed, the win:lose ratio last week was on the order of 7:1, which is extremely positive. We had to flip back through out data to 1987 to find a week in which market breadth was stronger.

What’s more, the few cases in history when market breadth was as good or better than last week were all followed by further gains in stock prices. True, there are occasions (1977 in particular) in which high breadth did not signal a full-fledged bull market. Then it signaled the arrival of higher inflation. This time may be similar. While we welcome last week’s market advance, we are pretty sure it was the result of liquidity on a scale greater than we have ever seen, and that higher inflation is in the bag.Read more...