Company Location

Mid-Week Update 01-06-10

The much ballyhooed healthcare legislation continues to meander its way through Washington, seemingly getting watered down at every turn. As the House and Senate versions are reconciled, investors are getting a better idea of what kind of changes to expect in the final package. We will try to steer clear of political arguments in this column, and focus more on investment implications. Read more...

Mid-Week Update 11-04-09

Yesterday, Warren Buffett stormed back into the headlines with the largest deal in his 44-year career at the helm of Berkshire Hathaway. The “Oracle of Omaha” announced that he was buying the 77.4 percent of Burlington Northern Santa Fe that he didn’t already own – paying $26 billion or $100 per share of the railroad (a 30 percent premium over the previous day’s closing price), and assuming roughly $10 billion in Burlington debt. Including his previous holding in Burlington, this is a $44 billion investment for Mr. Buffett, and is quite a bet for the investment icon.  Read more...

Market Update 11-03-09

Stocks posted their worst showing last week in eight months. The action was dreadful with all sectors and market segments being clipped. Small caps fared the worst, dropping anywhere from 5 to more than 6 percent, depending the on the average you choose to examine. Market breadth was equally terrible with declining issues outpacing advancers by more than a 7-to-1 margin on the New York Stock Exchange. Markets around the globe responded in kind.
 
Yesterday it looked like U.S. shares were headed for at least a temporary respite. But the rally was all too brief. Blue chip shares managed to recover by the end of yesterday’s trading, but there were plenty of divergences: small caps, the transports and utilities all lost ground.
 
Initially, investors cheered the Institute of Supply Management’s (ISM) Manufacturing Index data of October, which came in at 55.7, well ahead of expectations at 53 and the prior reading of 52.6. But the devil was in the details.
 
The stock market rally fizzled as a breakdown of the ISM data revealed the pace of new orders, supplier deliveries and customers’ inventories all slowed in the month, while prices paid rose.
Read more...

The Mighty Mid-Caps

Former small caps that have grown up, they balance spunk and safety

 
A useful way to think about mid-cap stocks is to view them as former smallcap stocks that, propelled by strong and steady growth and often blessed with positive and stable earnings and cash flows, have pulled ahead of their peers.
 
Today, as investors increasingly fixate on the quality of earnings and the reality of growth prospects, every mutual fund investor should own at least one mid-cap fund. One outstanding choice, which joins FundFolio this issue, is T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Value fund (TRMCX). Belonging to the respected Baltimore-based fund family T. Rowe Price—which has remained untainted by any hint of the mutual fund scandal—this five-star mid-cap fund is one of the best in its category. It invests in shares of undervalued medium-sized companies and currently is overweighted in several sectors, including media, business services, telecommunications, and utilities. Throughout its eight-year history it has been a stellar performer, in the top 11 percent for the past five-year period, the top 9 percent for the three-year period, and the top 10 percent for the past year.
Read more...

A Sweet Preferred Convertible

Sempra’s has it all: a high yield anda solid underlying stock

 
While long-term bonds continue to offer little upside, there’s still a way to pick up a decent coupon payment without punting on principal. Convertible bonds and convertible preferreds offer a nice middle ground between steady income and principal protection. Like any bond, convertibles provide a fixed source of income. The sweetener is that converts offer the potential for appreciation, because you can exchange them for stock.
 
This issue we’re adding Sempra Energy’s 8.5 percent preferred convertible series 5/17/05 (CUSIP: 816851208) to our Income Portfolio. Sempra’s convertible offers a healthy current yield of more than 7 percent, paying a quarterly dividend of $0.53 a share. The dividend is paid out the 17th of each February, May, August, and November. The security is convertible into a minimum of 0.819 shares of Sempra’s common stock, with mandatory conversion in May 2005.
Read more...

Quality at a Discount

ICAP scoops up a lagging oil company and a drug maker

 
On the preceding page, in recognition of the rising level of insecurity in the world, we urged fund investors to make sure they own at least one large-cap growth fund. By the same token, we were eager to add a high-quality large-cap stock or two to our Fund Finds portfolio. As we searched, we stumbled upon a relatively young, small five star-rated Large Cap Value fund: ICAP Select Equity fund (ICSLX). With just a little more than $140 million under management, the fund has been an outstanding performer. It is in the top 10 percent for the category year to date and in the top 11 percent for the past five-year period. The fund selects its holdings from a group of 450 large-cap U.S. and European names, focusing on stocks with attractive valuations, consistent to improving earnings, and clear catalysts for growth, such as new product launches. Recently the fund was featured in an article “Great Funds at Bargain Prices” in SmartMoney.com as one of 58 actively managed funds that have delivered impressive returns at a low cost over the past five years.
 
We’re not recommending that our subscribers buy ICAP Select Equity fund itself, though, for two reasons.
Read more...

The Big Bank Theory

Citigroup and Wells Fargo are largely immune to rising mortgage rates

 
Dividend-paying stocks, basking in their shiny new tax status, stole the income-investing limelight last year. Look for a repeat performance in 2004. With the S&P 500 yielding 1.2 percent and 10-year Treasuries 4.3 percent, stocks with any sort of reasonable payout and attractive fundamentals are the income investor’s best bet.
 
Specifically, we are focusing on stocks with solid growth prospects and a yield at least double the S&P’s—i.e., 3 percent or better—a combination offering potential total real returns of 8 to 10 percent. Two top-notch financial stocks fit the bill.
 
Don’t let Citigroup’s strong stock performance in 2003—up more than 35 percent – scare you off. At 13 times earnings, this financial top dog is available at nearly the same valuation as more run-of-the-mill competitors.
Read more...

Making It With Metals

Rising industrial demand should push platinum and palladium higher

 
A few years back, after a long period of steady prices, platinum and its sister metal palladium had huge moves. These stemmed both from bureaucracy-induced supply bottlenecks in Russia, a major producer, and a growing recognition that the metals are indispensable in certain industrial applications. Palladium rose to more than $1000 an ounce from its prior $100-$200 level, while platinum went from around $350 an ounce to above $600. Eventually, as economic growth stalled, prices came back down. But lately, with economic growth picking up, both metals have once again been uptrended, with platinum surging past prior highs.
 
Clearly you can make a lot of money investing in these metals. You also can lose big—Ford Motors, for instance, a major user of palladium, which is essential in emission-reducing catalytic converters, blew $1 billion because of colossal timing errors in its purchases.
 
We think that demand for these metals will remain strong and that their uptrends will continue to gain force.
Read more...

The Bailout: Time Is of the Essence: 09-25-08

September 2008 likely will go down in history as the most momentous month in the history of the U.S. financial system. Last week, we hope, represented the low point in a decline that first became frequent headline news in the summer of 2007.

 

What brought this mess about? In brief, a lot of bad behavior—on Wall Street, in Washington DC and on Main Street too.

 

Congress now appears likely to approve a $700 billion to bail out U.S. financial markets, financial institutions and/or the economy, depending on your point view, primarily by purchasing bad mortgage investments. We’re encouraged by this uncharacteristically swift, bipartisan activity.

 Read more...

Rising summer temperatures and stock market fireworks…: 07-17-08

Man, what a week! In case you’ve spent the past week digging your toes into the sand at the beach (which, to be honest, sounds far more inviting than the week we spent with our noses buried in our Bloomberg terminals), there has been enough action in the last few days to last several months.

 

Prior to yesterday the financial sector had been under intense pressure. “Adequately capitalized” had quickly become the buzzword when talking about companies, and the term was seemingly mentioned most often with companies that were in the worst shape.

 

Shareholders were bailing out of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in droves following questions over whether the government service enterprises (GSEs) were…you guessed it…adequately capitalized. Since the pair is the only real secondary market for home mortgage loans, the government stepped up and all but nationalized them. Fannie and Freddie’s shareholders are probably toast, but the duo’s AAA credit rating has been saved.

 Read more...