Company Technology

Mid-Week Update 08-25-10

In your upcoming September issue of The Complete Investor, our Growth article highlights some of our well-performing tech stocks. Despite the weak domestic economy, our franchises have bucked the trend – outperforming their own, and Wall Street’s, profit and sales expectations. Among others, we highlight Intel (INTC), the largest semiconductor company in the world, in regards to its stellar earnings report for the second quarter, as well as its desires to make a bigger splash in the mobile chip market with a proposed acquisition. After the issue went to print, however, Intel surprised the market with a different major acquisition.
 
Last Thursday, Intel announced its largest acquisition ever with the $7.68 billion purchase of security software maker, McAfee. Both boards unanimously approved the deal which will provide McAfee shareholders with $48 a share in cash – a 60 percent premium over the stock’s previous closing price. At first glance, the move seemed curious with a dominant hardware company making an expensive foray into software. The multiple, at 3.3 times revenue, is high relative to the average premium paid for internet security acquisitions. According to Bloomberg data, there have been 171 acquisitions in the internet security business over the last five years – the median sales multiple was 2.07. Of course, Intel could easily afford it with roughly $18 billion in its cash coffers.
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Mid-Week Update 04-28-10

The earnings season excitement continues, with companies largely beating Wall Street estimates. Our recommendations have been no exception, so far. However, besting estimates doesn’t necessarily mean that a stock will rally – and this quarter we’ve seen many companies report impressive results for the period, only to see the stock fall in the subsequent market session.

One such example is cell phone chip-maker and Growth Portfolio member Qualcomm (QCOM), whose stock has been on a rollercoaster ride since the company’s last quarterly report in January. In that instance, the company reported a solid quarter, but its guidance (based on weaker demand from Europe), left something to be desired in the eyes of analysts. We agreed, but saw the short-term weakness in the stock as a buying opportunity. A couple months later, the company revised its guidance – essentially back to its original forecast – based on better than expected demand from its developed economy markets. The stock, as you might expect, gapped up.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 03-31-10

As we mentioned last week, Vale S.A. (VALE) recently made the decision to switch to a more flexible, quarterly pricing system that would lead to a boost in revenue for the company. While the short-term impact of the decision will likely be marginal – new annual prices will soon be more closely in line with the quarterly price – the longer-term effects of this will be significant.
 
This week we learned more about how this transition would occur. Starting April 1, Japan’s Nippon Steel Corp. and South Korea’s Posco will purchase iron ore from Vale for three months at a price of between $100 and $110 a metric ton, up from the current benchmark price of roughly $62 a ton. This was the first quarterly agreement signed by Vale, which is the largest standalone iron producer in the world and a member of our Growth Portfolio. It was also announced recently that similar deals had been reached between BHP Billiton (BHP) (the world’s third largest iron ore producer and member of Growth and Income Portfolios) and its Asian customers.
 
The significance of these deals is that they mark the end of the decades-old, annual pricing system used by the industry. Previously, benchmark prices were set on April 1 and remained in place for the following 12 months, regardless of what happened in the spot market.
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Mid-Week Update 03-03-10

Qualcomm (QCOM), the newest addition to the Growth Portfolio and a part of our FundFinds Portfolio, is a tech franchise whose business revolves around wireless technology, in particular, CDMA, the heart of the new generation of cell phones. After posting disappointing earnings guidance in January, the company had some goods news this week. Read more...

Market Update 10-26-09

Short-Term Key: Negative Long-Term Key: -16 (Neutral)

Last week we mentioned the scientific principle that when the scale of things increases, new and unexpected phenomena emerge. And we pointed out that this will have profound implications for investors in the resource sector.

Coincidentally, the November issue of Scientific American came out last week bearing the cover story, “A Plan for a Sustainable Future,” that unfortunately misses this point. Nonetheless, the article is an important read because it speaks to some exciting opportunities in companies developing alternative energy. And, even more important, despite its faults, the article does give us hope that our children may be able to live a good life on this planet. And, who knows, it may not be too late for us as well.

Let us explain...

WIND ENERGY: WILL IT STAY CHEAP FOR LONG?Read more...

Surprising shortfalls in the resource sector 10-26-09

Short-Term Key: Negative Long-Term Key: -16 (Neutral)

Last week we mentioned the scientific principle that when the scale of things increases, new and unexpected phenomena emerge. And we pointed out that this will have profound implications for investors in the resource sector.

Coincidentally, the November issue of Scientific American came out last week bearing the cover story, “A Plan for a Sustainable Future,” that unfortunately misses this point. Nonetheless, the article is an important read because it speaks to some exciting opportunities in companies developing alternative energy. And, even more important, despite its faults, the article does give us hope that our children may be able to live a good life on this planet. And, who knows, it may not be too late for us as well.

Let us explain...

WIND ENERGY: WILL IT STAY CHEAP FOR LONG?Read more...

Mid-Week Update 10-07-09

With the market’s attention focused on the minute details of economic readings, the recovery of the fragile banking sector, and gold hitting all-time highs, some of the most stable companies have been left out of the headlines. However, that recently changed in regards to two Income Portfolio members over the last couple days, as both AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) made announcements that could shake-up the mobile phone industry. Read more...

Updating the Best from the Brainiest

All the stocks in FundFinds remain buys

 
FundFinds is a stock portfolio with a difference. We don’t look just for stocks we like—we first look for funds we like and then seek out the newest, or biggest, or most unusual of their holdings. Next we evaluate those holdings using our own stringent criteria. If they make the grade, they join FundFinds.
 
Using this approach, which lets us benefit from the expertise of top fund managers, we’ve accumulated a diversified group of 16 stocks. They all remain buys.
 
Our first picks, from Sequoia fund, were giant pharmaceutical chain Walgreen and rug maker Mohawk Industries.
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