Warren Buffett

Weekly Update 11-09-09

Three seemingly disparate news items last week strongly suggest that the investment world is bifurcating into commodity and non-commodity investments – or if you will long-term winners and long-term losers.

First, India's central bank announced that it had bought 200 tons of gold from the International Monetary Fund. That's half of the total amount the IMF had planned on selling. For a relatively small central bank to buy that much in one fell swoop is a big deal. It promotes gold from the status of a “barbaric relic” to that of an alternative reserve currency. Moreover, it leaves China – and other Central Banks – with egg on their face.

If India does not buy the rest (and they have not ruled that out) it is almost certain other Central Banks, Sovereign Wealth funds, all those who are underinvested in precious metals to join a prospective scramble for gold et al. that far exceeds what the IMF is willing to sell. No wonder. Money supply in so-called non-inflationary countries have climbed 15 fold in the past generation or so while the total value of all above-ground gold has only doubled.

But we are not just bullish on precious metals. The second announcement was Warren Buffett's biggest investment of his career...Read more...

Mid-Week Update 11-04-09

Yesterday, Warren Buffett stormed back into the headlines with the largest deal in his 44-year career at the helm of Berkshire Hathaway. The “Oracle of Omaha” announced that he was buying the 77.4 percent of Burlington Northern Santa Fe that he didn’t already own – paying $26 billion or $100 per share of the railroad (a 30 percent premium over the previous day’s closing price), and assuming roughly $10 billion in Burlington debt. Including his previous holding in Burlington, this is a $44 billion investment for Mr. Buffett, and is quite a bet for the investment icon. Read more...

Market Update 11-03-09

Stocks posted their worst showing last week in eight months. The action was dreadful with all sectors and market segments being clipped. Small caps fared the worst, dropping anywhere from 5 to more than 6 percent, depending the on the average you choose to examine. Market breadth was equally terrible with declining issues outpacing advancers by more than a 7-to-1 margin on the New York Stock Exchange. Markets around the globe responded in kind.
 
Yesterday it looked like U.S. shares were headed for at least a temporary respite. But the rally was all too brief. Blue chip shares managed to recover by the end of yesterday’s trading, but there were plenty of divergences: small caps, the transports and utilities all lost ground.
 
Initially, investors cheered the Institute of Supply Management’s (ISM) Manufacturing Index data of October, which came in at 55.7, well ahead of expectations at 53 and the prior reading of 52.6. But the devil was in the details.
 
The stock market rally fizzled as a breakdown of the ISM data revealed the pace of new orders, supplier deliveries and customers’ inventories all slowed in the month, while prices paid rose.
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Market Update 03-10-09

Is this the rally we’ve been waiting for? While the markets have been oversold and the buying action today seems to be very strong, we would refrain from calling the bottom just yet. However, one element of a rally is indeed present – the market is reacting to a relatively small piece of good news and is leaving behind most of the negativity of the latest labor numbers, at least for today.

The biggest action today is in the financials, following some rare good news out of the sector. Citigroup’s CEO disclosed that the company has been profitable in the first two months of the year and that its revenues were $19 billion. Of course, the figure doesn’t include potential one-time write-downs which are becoming a tradition, but at least the announcement breaks a string of terrible news out of the finance industry. Read more...

Market Update 03-10-09

  Georgetown University bu...

Image by Getty Images via Daylife

In an interview yesterday Warren Buffett stated what we all knew: the economy “has fallen off a cliff” and is unlikely to turn around soon. America’s richest man went on to speculate that efforts to stimulate a recovery may lead to inflation higher than what we experienced in the 1970s. The International Monetary Fund echoed Buffett’s view on the economy saying that this year will be the first time since World War II that the U.S. and other industrial nations suffer simultaneous declines in their economies.
 

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