Asia-Pacific

Slower Economy, Rising Stocks: 07-15-10

The Federal Reserve has confirmed what we already know. It downgraded expectations for the economy, according to minutes released yesterday of the latest policy meeting in late June.
Fed officials now expect growth to be slower this year than previously estimated, with inflation also lower and unemployment higher through 2012 than previously forecast. They also said they expect it to take as long as six years before the economy returns to the level of sustainable, moderate growth and unemployment near 5 percent that was in place before 2007.
 
In addition, the Fed said further central-bank action might be necessary if the economic outlook "were to worsen appreciably." But the consensus outlook remains that the economic expansion likely will be strong enough to avoid additional action.
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Mid-Week Update 07-14-10

Second quarter earnings season is finally upon us. After first-reporter Alcoa released positive results on Monday, Growth Portfolio member and technology bellwether Intel (INTC) reported blowout numbers last night after the market’s close.

The largest computer chip maker in the world collected $2.89 billion in net income, or 51 cents a share, during the second quarter – easily outpacing consensus estimates of 43 cents. Importantly, the semiconductor giant accomplished this through outperformance on both the top-line (revenues were $10.8 billion versus expectations of $10.3 billion), and the bottom line, with further gross profit margin improvements (67.2 percent versus 50.8 percent in the same period last year). With this strong showing, the company upped its gross margin estimate for the full-year: to 66 percent from a previous prediction of 64 percent.

Intel’s forward-looking guidance also beat expectations. For the current quarter, the company now expects total sales to be $11.6 billion – plus or minus $400 million. Analysts had estimated $10.9 billion, so Intel’s most bearish guidance now exceeds the average analysts’ expectations by $300 million. CEO Paul Otellini cited higher enterprise spending as the catalyst behind the impressive results and forecast. Corporate customers are replacing old desktops and laptops, while other companies like Google and Facebook are increasing the size of their server farms.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 12-16-09

The world’s largest computer-chip maker and Growth Portfolio holding, Intel (INTC) is once again making headlines thanks to its market dominance. Fresh off the latest agreement with the European Union to pay almost $1.5 billion to Advanced Micro Devices to settle a four-year dispute, Intel is once again facing anti-competitive charges. Now the U.S. Federal Trade Commission has joined party, alleging that the company has illegally used its dominant market position to suppress competition and strengthen its monopoly. Read more...

WHAT THEY’RE BUYING

Fidelity Pacific Basin, which joins our Fund Portfolio this issue, has an outstanding record. So when its managers really like a stock, it pays to listen. And they really like Toyota Motors (TM ADR)—in fact, the automaker is the fund’s single largest position. Moreover, Fidelity Management & Research, the company to which Fidelity Pacific Basin belongs, more than doubled its stake in the stock last quarter, making it the largest U.S. holder of Toyota shares.
 
What’s to like about Toyota? Actually, there’s nothing not to like. The No. 1 automaker in Japan and No. 3 in the world, it’s a truly global company that sells its vehicles in more than 160 countries. This year, for the first time, Toyota captured more than 10 percent of the U.S. market, and almost 40 percent of its revenues come from North American operations.
 
One reason for its success is its commitment to high-quality products. Another is its leadership position in developing new technologies, including those used in creating environmentally friendlier autos.
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Mid-Week Update 07-15-09

Finally, some positive news. The world’s largest semiconductor company, Intel (INTC), which we profiled here just two weeks ago, reported blow-out earnings last night – and the stock reacted very positively today. During the second quarter, the company collected just over $8 billion in revenue, better than the $7.3 billion analysts were expecting. And they did this as they drew down their own inventories by $420 million.

Further, the company’s gross margins expanded from 46 percent last quarter to 51 percent in the one just completed. The company reported a net loss for the quarter of $398, or 7 cents a share due to a $1.45 billion antitrust fine levied by the European Union. Excluding this one-time item, which may even reverse itself if Intel wins its appeal, the company earned 18 cents a share – more than double expectations of 8 cents.Read more...

Not Surprisingly, The Answer Is China. 07-15-09

Finally, some positive news. The world’s largest semiconductor company, Intel (INTC), which we profiled here just two weeks ago, reported blow-out earnings last night – and the stock reacted very positively today. During the second quarter, the company collected just over $8 billion in revenue, better than the $7.3 billion analysts were expecting. And they did this as they drew down their own inventories by $420 million.

Further, the company’s gross margins expanded from 46 percent last quarter to 51 percent in the one just completed. The company reported a net loss for the quarter of $398, or 7 cents a share due to a $1.45 billion antitrust fine levied by the European Union. Excluding this one-time item, which may even reverse itself if Intel wins its appeal, the company earned 18 cents a share – more than double expectations of 8 cents.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 07-08-09

The market broke through a key support level and remains perilously close to taking a major spill. With little positive economic news to build from, and technical indictors looking weak – we continue to think the market is heading lower. This makes it all the more important to fill your portfolio with market hedges, like precious metals, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) and ample cash. You also want to make sure the bulk of your holdings are comprised of stocks that can weather the storm. Read more...