Flash memory

Taking a Chance on Chips

Zilog emerges from bankruptcy and wins raves for its newest products

 
The prices of most stocks discount the future. But some exceptions sneak through. If you can find a company that trades at a discount to today’s market and that also has tremendous potential for future growth, you’ve hit the jackpot. Basically you’re getting tomorrow’s growth for free.
 
One such rare gem is Zilog, which designs, manufactures, and markets semiconductors for the communications and embedded control markets. The company trades at less than 1 time sales, 1.6 times book, and 9.5 times EBITDA. By contrast the average semiconductor company trades at 3.5 times sales, 3.5 times book, and more than 20 times EBITDA. The company is even more of a bargain when you look at future growth prospects.
 
One reason Zilog trades at such a discount to its peers is that it emerged from bankruptcy in May 2002 and like most companies in that position trades on the Bulletin Board. In addition, because no major Wall Street firm follows the company it has remained under the Street’s radar.
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Mid-Week Update 07-01-09

An impressive quarter is now in the books. The second quarter of 2009 saw the S&P 500 rally almost 16 percent, its best quarterly return since 1998. Of course, this is on the heels of the sharpest market downturn in 80 years. Despite the rally, which took stocks deserving and undeserving alike from cheap valuations, there are still some bargains to be had.
 
Case in point is one of the most dominant companies on the planet – Intel (INTC). Intel is the leading semiconductor chip maker, with a global market share of approximately 80 percent. The company manufactures microprocessors, chipsets, flash memory and motherboards for computing and communications products under two business segments: the Digital Enterprise Group and the Mobility Group.
 
In Fiscal 2008, the Digital Enterprise Group accounted for 56 percent of the company’s $37.6 billion in total sales. With chips for desktop computers, servers, and enterprise applications, the group boasts high margins, and account for nearly three quarters of Intel’s annual profit of $5.2 billion. Meanwhile, the Mobility Group, with products for notebook computers and netbooks accounted for most of the remainder.
 
The Mobility Group is also an area in which Intel is concentrating on growth – centered on its new Atom processor.
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TOO MUCH MONEY? 02-12-07

Despite last week’s tiny pullback (0.71% on the S&P), the market continues to look as positive as it has for many weeks. If anything, the outlook has gotten even better since your last update.

Everything we like to see in a market pullback (because it implies it won’t last) occurred last week. Small cap stocks outperformed. Utilities made new highs. And our indicators remain entrenched in bullish territory.

In fact, the only thing we think that could stop us all from getting richer over the next few months would be another unexpected geopolitical trauma – a renewed war in Lebanon, an attack on Iran for failing to meet the U.N. deadline, or maybe the Taliban proving to be stronger than anyone in NATO expects.

Ordinarily we would consider such events to be long shots, although we wouldn’t dare guess the odds today. So what is it that makes today’s market so strong? Here’s our theory …

TOO MUCH MONEY? (WE SHOULD ALL HAVE SUCH PROBLEMS…OR NOT.)

When the book is finally written on today’s bull market, we think historians will declare it to have been driven much more by private equity and hedge funds than by central banks. No matter where we look – whether to U.S., European, or even global money measures – we see nothing but extremely high liquidity. It’s like the world economy is living in a vat of whiskey – it can’t help getting high.Read more...