semiconductor

Mid-Week Update 08-25-10

In your upcoming September issue of The Complete Investor, our Growth article highlights some of our well-performing tech stocks. Despite the weak domestic economy, our franchises have bucked the trend – outperforming their own, and Wall Street’s, profit and sales expectations. Among others, we highlight Intel (INTC), the largest semiconductor company in the world, in regards to its stellar earnings report for the second quarter, as well as its desires to make a bigger splash in the mobile chip market with a proposed acquisition. After the issue went to print, however, Intel surprised the market with a different major acquisition.
 
Last Thursday, Intel announced its largest acquisition ever with the $7.68 billion purchase of security software maker, McAfee. Both boards unanimously approved the deal which will provide McAfee shareholders with $48 a share in cash – a 60 percent premium over the stock’s previous closing price. At first glance, the move seemed curious with a dominant hardware company making an expensive foray into software. The multiple, at 3.3 times revenue, is high relative to the average premium paid for internet security acquisitions. According to Bloomberg data, there have been 171 acquisitions in the internet security business over the last five years – the median sales multiple was 2.07. Of course, Intel could easily afford it with roughly $18 billion in its cash coffers.
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Mid-Week Update 07-14-10

Second quarter earnings season is finally upon us. After first-reporter Alcoa released positive results on Monday, Growth Portfolio member and technology bellwether Intel (INTC) reported blowout numbers last night after the market’s close.

The largest computer chip maker in the world collected $2.89 billion in net income, or 51 cents a share, during the second quarter – easily outpacing consensus estimates of 43 cents. Importantly, the semiconductor giant accomplished this through outperformance on both the top-line (revenues were $10.8 billion versus expectations of $10.3 billion), and the bottom line, with further gross profit margin improvements (67.2 percent versus 50.8 percent in the same period last year). With this strong showing, the company upped its gross margin estimate for the full-year: to 66 percent from a previous prediction of 64 percent.

Intel’s forward-looking guidance also beat expectations. For the current quarter, the company now expects total sales to be $11.6 billion – plus or minus $400 million. Analysts had estimated $10.9 billion, so Intel’s most bearish guidance now exceeds the average analysts’ expectations by $300 million. CEO Paul Otellini cited higher enterprise spending as the catalyst behind the impressive results and forecast. Corporate customers are replacing old desktops and laptops, while other companies like Google and Facebook are increasing the size of their server farms.Read more...

Mid-Week Update 03-03-10

Qualcomm (QCOM), the newest addition to the Growth Portfolio and a part of our FundFinds Portfolio, is a tech franchise whose business revolves around wireless technology, in particular, CDMA, the heart of the new generation of cell phones. After posting disappointing earnings guidance in January, the company had some goods news this week. Read more...

Mid-Week Update 02-03-10

In Monday’s Market Update, we highlighted the few information technology companies that we feel qualify as franchises. With one exception, all of those companies are represented in our Growth Portfolio. Today, we add Qualcomm (QCOM) to the portfolio – completing our technology franchise portfolio. Read more...

Google's empty threat 01-25-10

Short-Term Key: Negative
Long-Term Key -90 (Negative to Neutral)
 
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Inside this week's update...
 
***** 4 high-potential Chinese stocks.
***** Real estate bubble or joint venture financing?
***** Top funds geared to China's growth.
***** Move over Wal-Mart, make room for Wumart.
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Speculation continues to run high on the issue of whether China is experiencing a bubble that threatens investors. Chinese real estate looks hugely overpriced and manufacturing capacity (according to some) has run far in excess of potential demand.
On the political front, an argument has erupted between the Chinese government and Google. Google claims China hacked the email accounts of some of its customers, who coincidentally were human rights crusaders.
Read more...

Market Update 01-25-10

 
Short-Term Key: Negative
Long-Term Key -90 (Negative to Neutral)
 
-------------------------------------
Inside this week's update...
 
***** 4 high-potential Chinese stocks.
***** Real estate bubble or joint venture financing?
***** Top funds geared to China's growth.
***** Move over Wal-Mart, make room for Wumart.
------------------------------------
 
Speculation continues to run high on the issue of whether China is experiencing a bubble that threatens investors. Chinese real estate looks hugely overpriced and manufacturing capacity (according to some) has run far in excess of potential demand.
On the political front, an argument has erupted between the Chinese government and Google. Google claims China hacked the email accounts of some of its customers, who coincidentally were human rights crusaders.
Read more...

Mid-Week Update 10-21-09

Earnings season is well underway with about a quarter of S&P 500 companies having already reported. The results, helped by favorable year-on-year comparisons, have been largely impressive so far, with over three quarters of announcements coming above expectations and less than 15 percent falling short. Read more...

Mid-Week Update 10-14-09

Intel (INTC) has done it again.
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The Tricky Art of Buying Tech

As tech products come down in price, investors need to get a lot pickier

 
The chart below graphically presents the dilemma you face when it comes to investing in tech. Depicting the role information technology has played in the economy over the past eight years, it has two separate lines. As you can see, one line is virtually flat—in fact, it is down a bit from its high point in 2000. The second line, though, rises steeply.
 
The flat line shows the dollar value of tech in the economy. The uptrended line reflects the actual physical presence of tech in the economy—for instance, the number of semiconductors in use. The explanation for why the two lines don’t look the same is simple: we’re using more tech, but prices have been coming down.
 
This, in a nutshell, is why the technology arena is both compelling and tricky for investors. The rising demand for tech products creates an indisputable opportunity.
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Keeping Track

We still like (hate) our shorts; S1 and Interleukin remain buys

 
The Fast Track portfolio, consisting mostly of inherently volatile small-cap stocks, is strictly for investors willing to zig and zag as needed, quickly repositioning their holdings to keep pace with changing circumstances. Our picks already have experienced some wild swings, from losses in Net IQ when its earnings and revenues fell short to stocks such as S1 and Interleukin that have nearly doubled since we recommended them. Below we bring you up to speed on relevant recent events affecting an assortment of our recommendations.
 
First, the shorts. NVR, a textbook case of volatility, rose more than 100 points—a 25 percent gain – after our short recommendation. The stock benefited from good earnings and investors’ continued faith in the housing market. We still like the stock as a short, because the increase in home prices has slowed dramatically, and if prices actually began to fall, the stock would tumble.
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