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Last Friday, the latest job report showed a still large loss of 539,000 jobs in April, but the number is an improvement over the preceding months (a revised 699,000 in March). Still, unemployment rate sits at 8.9%, while underemployment is at 15.8%. And while the new job loss number was better than expected, the economy is clearly not out of the woods yet, as jobs are still being lost at a high rate, and unemployment will be in double digits in the coming months. Further, the job loss report was mitigated by the government’s hiring of workers ahead of the 2010 census, while every sector besides healthcare was cutting jobs. So while the rate of job loss may be declining, job growth appears far away, especially since businesses will likely be cautious in hiring new workers until they are positive that the economy is healthy.

 
After the S&P 500 ended last week at its highest mark in four months, the market began this week with a rare down day (for recent weeks) on Monday. News of US Bancorp, BB&T and Capital One, banks that met the requirements of the stress tests, selling shares to repay TARP loans, sent their shares lower. American Express and Citigroup also fell as financials overall fell following a surge last week that occurred despite many signs that pointed to most of the 19 largest banks would need new capital. GM’s probable bankruptcy was also a somber reminder that perhaps the market has been getting ahead of itself.
 
Fed Chairman Bernanke said in a speech yesterday that he’s encouraged by the results of the stress tests, but noted that the banks need to continue to conduct internal tests to identify risks. He pledged that the government will fully back the financial industry to ensure no major firms fail. This affirms what we already know. Furthermore, Bernanke pledged that the dollar will be kept strong, which is questionable given the inflationary pressures that the economy will face when it finally recovers. 

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